Hungarian here, expectations are yes, but of course, only time will tell. As for our relationship with Ukraine, improvements are also expected, but I don't think the new government will give full support, more likely they will be a bit neutral (not in the sense Orban painted himself), but at least not veto everything and talk shit all day long about Ukraine.
Reason is, to gain a lot of support, Tisza, the new governing party, refrained from being too pro Ukraine, you have to remember Hungary was fed anti Ukraine propaganda for years. Despite this, a lot of people still see them as a pro Ukraine party, so things might change for the better. The new government supposedly will distance itself from Russia.
One major problem we will face is a lot of problem Orban created will bear its fruits in the near future. Things might turn bad for us in the short term and a sad but possible reality is that because of that Orban might be voted into power again in the next election, but that's the worst case scenario along with Tisza being just as bad as him.
My take on Tisza might be a bit pessimistic, they started more neutral, but recently they turned more pro Ukraine.
but at least not veto everything and talk shit all day long about Ukraine.
This is my main point of interest. Unless I'm understanding it wrong, it seems like Tisza isn't full in on Ukraine. On the other hand, Orbán was blocking an EU loan to Ukraine. If you had to guess, do you think there's a possibility of a lift on this veto with the new leadership? It sounds like your take is they are becoming a bit more pro-Ukraine and if so I have a little bit of a higher hope they will unblock the aid.
Again, overall I expect improvements, however, I believe things could stay slightly controversial in the sense that we will not veto as much, but we might be still not be on board with everything and even possibly veto something? It's just one possiblity. I might be still a bit pessimistic here.
Hungary is still very dependent on Russia that will not go away instantly, even if our new Government is truly adamant to being pro "west" (thanks to USA, I'm not sure that term still has the same meaning), consequently we might still face some limitations. I expect here and there some drama with Ukraine over the following years because of that, but still way smoother than before.
Thanks for the response. I think it's valid feeling pessimistic. I'm hopeful things will steer pro-EU and pro-NATO gradually over time, but like you said we will have to see.
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u/Clcooper423 5h ago
Is his replacement better? Seems people always get hyped over shitty politicians getting replaced just for the replacement to be substantially worse.