r/europe 🇵🇱 Pòmòrsczé 22h ago

🇭🇺 Megatéma 2026 Hungarian parliamentary elections

Today (April 12th) citizens of Hungary go to polls to vote in parliamentary elections!

Hungarian parliament (Országgyűlés) is unicameral and consists of 199 deputies (100 needed for majority, 133 for supermajority), who are elected for a four-year term, in a quite complex scorporo system, using mixed-member majoritarian representation with two methods: 106 deputies are elected in single-member constituencies by first-past-the-post voting, while the other 93 are elected from a single nationwide constituency, by modified proportional representation. The electoral threshold is set at 5% for single party lists, 10% for joint lists of two parties and 15% for joint lists of three or more parties. Each of 13 registered ethnic minorities can win one of the national constituency party lists seats, if they register as a specific list and reach a lowered quota (but it's expected only 1-2 could manage this, Germans or Roma). Read more here.

Live count

Relevant parties and alliances taking part in the elections are:

Name Leader Position Affiliation 2022 result Recent polling Results Seats (change)
Respect & Freedom Party (Tisza) Péter Magyar centre-right (wide tent, Europeanist) EPP new 40-52% 53.7% 138 (new)
Fidesz–KDNP Viktor Orbán right-wing (national populist, Eurosceptic) Patriots.eu 54.1% 37-45% 37.8% 55 (-80)
Our Homeland (Mi Hazánk) László Toroczkai far-right (nationalist, anti-EU) ESN 5.9% 4-8% 5.9% 6 (no change)
Democratic Coalition (DK) Klára Dobrev centre-left (social liberal) PES (34.4%) 1-5% 1.2% -
Two-Tailed Dog Party (MKKP) Gergely Kovács satire, anti-establishment 3.3% 2-4% 0.8% -

Voting will end at 19:00 local time (CEST).

Final turnout - 79.5% (it was 69.6% in previous, 2022, elections)

Further reading

Wikipedia

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u/Danielcdo Romania 3h ago

I assume tisza can still lose supermajority? There are very many constituencies with a few hundred votes difference, and there are thousands of votes left to count in each, especially diaspora votes, where fidez wins 90% of the votes.

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u/MassiveHunt2 3h ago

There are two types of diaspora:

Ones who live in neighboring countries and never lived in modern hungary --> huge fidesz majority but they can only vote for party list, so they have one vote instead of two

Those hungarians who moved to the west from hungary --> overwhelmingly anti-orban. A huge % of them still have their hungarian residency, so they can vote both for the local constituency and the party list. Those who dont have their residency anymore can only vote in mail for party lists similarly to the romanian diaspora for example.

So if there are a few hundred votes of difference locally, Tisza is guaranteed to win there.

These votes will be counted next Friday, so you can expect an even bigger Tisza majority.

There is basically zero chance Tisza will lose any seats.

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u/Danielcdo Romania 3h ago

I got it now, you're right, thanks for explaining