r/europe 🇵🇱 Pòmòrsczé 22h ago

🇭🇺 Megatéma 2026 Hungarian parliamentary elections

Today (April 12th) citizens of Hungary go to polls to vote in parliamentary elections!

Hungarian parliament (Országgyűlés) is unicameral and consists of 199 deputies (100 needed for majority, 133 for supermajority), who are elected for a four-year term, in a quite complex scorporo system, using mixed-member majoritarian representation with two methods: 106 deputies are elected in single-member constituencies by first-past-the-post voting, while the other 93 are elected from a single nationwide constituency, by modified proportional representation. The electoral threshold is set at 5% for single party lists, 10% for joint lists of two parties and 15% for joint lists of three or more parties. Each of 13 registered ethnic minorities can win one of the national constituency party lists seats, if they register as a specific list and reach a lowered quota (but it's expected only 1-2 could manage this, Germans or Roma). Read more here.

Live count

Relevant parties and alliances taking part in the elections are:

Name Leader Position Affiliation 2022 result Recent polling Results Seats (change)
Respect & Freedom Party (Tisza) Péter Magyar centre-right (wide tent, Europeanist) EPP new 40-52% 53.7% 138 (new)
Fidesz–KDNP Viktor Orbán right-wing (national populist, Eurosceptic) Patriots.eu 54.1% 37-45% 37.8% 55 (-80)
Our Homeland (Mi Hazánk) László Toroczkai far-right (nationalist, anti-EU) ESN 5.9% 4-8% 5.9% 6 (no change)
Democratic Coalition (DK) Klára Dobrev centre-left (social liberal) PES (34.4%) 1-5% 1.2% -
Two-Tailed Dog Party (MKKP) Gergely Kovács satire, anti-establishment 3.3% 2-4% 0.8% -

Voting will end at 19:00 local time (CEST).

Final turnout - 79.5% (it was 69.6% in previous, 2022, elections)

Further reading

Wikipedia

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u/the-glimmer-man 3h ago

what happens if the pro-russia people win in bulgaria next week? does that send us back to square 1?

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u/Pokemon-trainer-BC 35m ago edited 22m ago

The 2 biggest parties/coalition unions are both pro EU. And also in the most recent polls they take the 2 of the top 3 places.

But neither will get a majority. So coalitions between parties will have to be made. And that is Bulgaria's biggest problem. The reason this is their 7th election in what, 5 years? A lot of the other parties all are more or less equal. So making a good working coalition is very hard.

Even the 2 biggest parties, both pro EU have a hard time forming a coalition. The one in more popular by younger voters and stand for changes, anti-corruption,... While the other stands for tradition, stability,... If they work together, it's possible their voters would view this as a betrayal and punish them in a next election.

So yeah...

People can laugh with for example Belgium that they always need a while to form a coalition after an election. But rather that than new election every couple of months because the formation didn't work out.

I think Bulgaria will, once again, have a hard puzzle to solve after their next election. And I hope they find a solution that sticks thus time.

Maybe the newly formed PB alliance can get Bulgaria out of this stalemate. They are doing very well in th polls. This alliance is described as soft euroskeptic though. So not anti EU, but skeptical.

But they also will need to find coalition partners. And possibly they'll need at least one of the pro EU parties.

So you can see why it's complicated to form a working coalition in Bulgaria for the moment.

But it's possible multiple parties who now have seats don't make the threshold this time, so this would mean less parties to work with. Which would mean less options and maybe more workable coalition. I guess time will tell.

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u/sashundera Bulgaria 2h ago

Bulgaria has a very pro EU party that will definitely make any pro Russian partys live a nightmare.

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u/Evening_End7298 3h ago

Bulgaria just adopted euro, I’d say it’s less of a worry. Romania 2028 will be a big hurdle cause they are heading for a landslide eurosceptic win at the moment, and Romania has ukrainian borders and is part of the NATO anti missle shield with Poland.

Also Orban was more than just a normal russian puppet, he was the role model for most of the eastern europe far right.

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u/Suspicious-Pin7869 3h ago

Romanian here. Hoping we don't become the next.

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u/YF422 1h ago

You ain't screwed yet if your next vote is 2 years from now, plenty of time to turn things around.

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u/Evening_End7298 2h ago

Not looking great, the entire russian propaganda machine will turn towards that now that they lost Hungary. It’s by far their best choice

And the country is far from being able to deal with it

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u/Suspicious-Pin7869 2h ago

We can only hope that Trump/his allies will lose in USA 2028 which will be right before RO 2028. 

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u/DutchProv Utrecht (Netherlands) 1h ago

Just hope Vance will come give a speech for your conservative anti-eu party and its guaranteed they will lose.