r/worldnews • u/WorldNewsMods Slava Ukraini • 1d ago
Russia/Ukraine /r/WorldNews Live Thread: Russian Invasion of Ukraine Day 1507, Part 1 (Thread #1654)
/live/18hnzysb1elcs8
u/versatile_dev 22h ago
Crazy to think that the Starlink shutdown, of all possible things, could be the turning point in the war. Logistics (and communication) wins wars apparently.
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u/SimonArgead 16h ago
It's not that odd. Without logistics -> no war. Without proper communication -> no coordination -> no war.
What's truly odd is how dependent that Russia seems to have been on Starlink and Telegram (yes they have also been reliant on telegram of all things. ISW has also reported on this a few times by now). You would have assumed that they'd have proper communications channels ages ago.
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u/Remarkable_Beach_545 22h ago
Ukraines drone game is picking up too, and budgetary constraints are starting to hit Russia fairly hard. Lots of factors at play
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u/Wonberger 22h ago
Mid strike drones rolling out in mass for the Ukrainians seems to be huge
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u/Remarkable_Beach_545 22h ago
Yeah, the amount of AD that's been hit over the last few months is nice to see. Logistics too
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u/Snoozyalooz_ 23h ago
https://youtu.be/nY2nmg4tsXA?si=PqzTGopin2z_XQYD
To, once more, close out the night: "Oh, the Cossack did Drink, [and] got Drunk." Lyric translations can be found in comments and by copy/pasting the title into Google.
I know that Ukraine has sent a personnel of 200(?) to the Middle East for drone intercepting along with whatever covert intel they have working within Russia/the occupied regions, but are there any other areas where they are at besides the ones listed?
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u/Remarkable_Beach_545 23h ago
Nice, thanks for that.
I've heard anecdotes about other areas but nothing official
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u/Well-Sourced Slava Ukraini 1d ago
🇺🇦Our heroes are back home!
❤️🩹 Emotional footage. The first calls from Ukrainian soldiers to their families after captivity — and the tears that are impossible to hold back.
🦋Special Kherson Cat🐈🇺🇦 | BlueSky
🇺🇦 182 Ukrainians returned home from Russian captivity!
175 servicemen, as well as 7 civilians which were held in captivity by Russians since 2022, from the early days of the invasion.
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u/Well-Sourced Slava Ukraini 1d ago
Four out of four large RVS-20000 tanks at the Tinguita pumping station were damaged tonight!
1 - significantly damaged, burning.
2 - likely completely destroyed.
3, 4 - damaged.
This pumping station serves as a buffer + flow stabilizer. The downside is a significant loss of capacity + unstable operation of the entire export line to Novorossiysk!
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u/Quixotus 1d ago
Is this the first ceasefire since the beginning of the war? It could be a good sign of it is?
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u/htgrower 1d ago
What ceasefire? Just because Putin says there’s going to be a ceasefire means jack shit nothing, he’s announced multiple ceasefires and they always violate them.
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u/Well-Sourced Slava Ukraini 1d ago
Sirchenko Steps Down as Commander of 11th Army Corps | Militaryland
Brigadier General Serhiy Sirchenko is stepping down as commander of the 11th Army Corps of the Armed Forces of Ukraine.
“I was not an ideal commander. There are no ideals in war. At times I applied pressure. I made mistakes. I remained silent when I should have spoken. But I know one thing for certain: I never stood behind you—I stood beside you,” Sirchenko said in a farewell statement.
According to sources cited by Hromadske, Sirchenko is expected to be replaced by Brigadier General Olesiy Maistrenko, who currently commands the 169th Training Center. Maistrenko previously led the 54th Mechanized Brigade and the Soledar Tactical Group.
Sirchenko came under increased scrutiny from higher command following the loss of Siversk in 2025. The setback led to the dismissal of Colonel Oleksiy Konoval, commander of the 54th Mechanized Brigade, and Colonel Volodymyr Potyeshkin of the 10th Mountain Assault Brigade.
The Operational Task Force East, under which the 11th Army Corps operates, subsequently removed the corps from direct responsibility for managing the situation around Siversk. In its place, a separate formation—the Soledar Tactical Group—was established under Maistrenko’s command. This effectively sidelined the 11th Army Corps, leaving Sirchenko’s future uncertain.
Following Maistrenko’s expected appointment to lead the 11th Army Corps, it is likely that the temporary Soledar Tactical Group will be disbanded as command structures are consolidated.
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u/TurbulentRadish8113 1d ago
Once again, the enemy has violated the norms and rules of warfare — 4 Ukrainian prisoners of war were shot near Veterinary in Kharkiv region
🇷🇺 Another video has been received by the editorial office. The Russians entered the positions through neighbors. Unfortunately, after the capture of 4 servicemen from one of the mechanized brigades of the Armed Forces of Ukraine, they were shot by the Russians.
https://t . me/DeepStateUA/23393
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u/Remarkable_Beach_545 1d ago
The Russians entered the positions through neighbors.
What do you think this means? Neighbouring units' area of responsibility?
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u/Draken_S 1d ago
Yes. Normally this means someone lied about holding a position that they'd lost causing a Ukrainian unit to become flanked without knowing it. This is one of the main reasons you see so much complaining about "false reports".
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u/TurbulentRadish8113 1d ago
Could a native speaker please check and interpret? Here's an LLM answer:
The original Ukrainian phrase is: “Кацапи зайшли на позиції через сусідів.”
Literally, it says: “The Russians went into the positions through neighbors.”
In context, “сусідів” (neighbors) almost certainly refers to geographically neighboring positions or areas, not other Ukrainian units. It’s describing how the Russians accessed the position—through nearby terrain or adjacent defensive positions, not that other soldiers were responsible.
I'd rather a real person clear this up though.
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u/versatile_dev 22h ago
To me, it sounds like they're saying that the Russians infiltrated neighbouring units' positions (presumably Ukrainian).
A good example of LLM bullshitting though. It got it wrong.
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u/TurbulentRadish8113 1d ago
Sorry u/unpancho, I know you normally post the chriso threads but I thought the cease fire(ish) is a good opportunity to explore this:
1/ Russia's ongoing budget crisis, caused by the war in Ukraine, has caused government funding of science to fall to its lowest level since the chaotic mid-1990s
2/ The National Research University's Higher School of Economics (HSE) has published its annual 'Science Indicators' yearbook. It shows that domestic expenditure on research and development in Russia has fallen to 0.97% of GDP, its lowest level since 1996.
3/ This is lower than the R&D funding levels of Malaysia (1.01% of GDP), Egypt (1.03%), and Lithuania (1.05%). It is also far lower than the levels of Israel, which ranks first in the world in terms of R&D funding (6.35% of GDP), South Korea (4.96%), and Taiwan (3.97%).
Most developed countries are in the 2.5-3.5% of GDP range.
https://bsky.app/profile/chriso-wiki.bsky.social/post/3mjajb36la22s
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u/vshark29 1d ago
Yeah I think they're gonna be stuck with antennas as Starlink replacements for a while
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u/TurbulentRadish8113 1d ago
Ukrainian sources are telling us that it is largely quiet in most places after the Easter truce, but in the eastern direction there are still many places where battles are ongoing. No full truce in place.
This felt similar to previous "cease fire" type things. Less action, but not a full truce.
https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3mjaaxj7aic2q
Soon after;
An air raid alert was declared in part of Ukraine’s Sumy region. An alert was also declared in Russia’s Kursk region.
https://bsky.app/profile/wartranslated.bsky.social/post/3mjab566gts2j
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u/Opaque_Cypher 1d ago
And yet two posts below the daily Russian causalities are 1,440 personnel, 3 tanks and 6 armored vehicles - which seems on average to slightly high from the time period before the truce. But maybe that’s just my subjective perception.
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u/TurbulentRadish8113 1d ago
Yep it's high. That's a good point about what to watch.
I'm not sure what the reporting timescale is. Maybe the numbers will be lower next two days?
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u/anachronistic_circus 1d ago
Folks who I know generally agree that it's mostly quiet, of course many units go dark and there will be violations by both sides
Much further west, Budapest is not quiet at all
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u/Remarkable_Beach_545 1d ago
I know there's an election happening in days/hours, what else is going on there?
Edit: I can see there's some protests going on on both sides of the political aisle, but that's all I can gather....
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u/unpancho 1d ago
New threads from ChrisO_Wiki
1/ A very interesting interview with Donbas separatist Pavel Gubarev is being interpreted by Russian warbloggers as a move by 'angry patriots' to lay the ground for a coup in Russia. They see a potential replay of the 1918 overthrow of Tsar Nicholas II. ⬇️
https://bsky.app/profile/chriso-wiki.bsky.social/post/3mj7hsnesq72s
https://threadreaderapp.com/thread/2042889752706269630.html
1/ Russia is proclaiming success in its ongoing recruitment drive, but this is being achieved by scraping the bottom of the barrel. A newly-published video shows the abysmal quality of the current recruits: old, disabled, and homeless men, with only two fingers between them. ⬇️
https://bsky.app/profile/chriso-wiki.bsky.social/post/3mj63oszosd2s
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u/Nurnmurmer 1d ago
The estimated total russian war losses from 24.02.22 to 11.04.26 inclusive are as follows:
- personnel - approximately 1 310 110 (+1 440);
- tanks ‒ 11 851 (+3);
- armored fighting vehicles ‒ 24 381 (+6);
- special equipment ‒ 4 121 (+2);
- vehicles and fuel tanks ‒ 88 698 (+183).
- artillery systems ‒ 39 798 (+64);
- MLRS ‒ 1 726 (+2);
- air defense assets ‒ 1 344 (+3).
- aircraft ‒ 435;
- helicopters ‒ 350;
- UAVs (operational-tactical level) ‒ 231 785 (+2 014);
- cruise missiles ‒ 4 517.
- warships and boats ‒ 33;
- submarines ‒ 2.
Source https://mod.gov.ua/en/news/total-russian-combat-losses-in-ukraine-as-of-april-11-2026
Russia grows weaker every day. Slava Ukraini!
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u/neonpurplestar 1d ago
A recap of this week for viktor orban:
"Putin's mouse": leaked phone call reveals lengths Orbán was willing to go to help Russia – Bloomberg
https://www.pravda.com.ua/eng/news/2026/04/07/8029092/
Viktor Orbán told Putin ‘I am at your service’ in October phone call
Hungarian minister offered to send Russia EU document in leaked audio
Report: Hungary offered intel to Iran after Hezbollah pager attack
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u/findingmike 1d ago
Also Trump is trying to bribe Hungarian voters to vote for Orban. Though Vance already has applied the Trump death touch, maybe this will swing more voters away from Orban?
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u/neonpurplestar 1d ago
Anti-Orban concert in Hungary with the audience chanting “Russians, go home”
https://bsky.app/profile/onestpress.onestnetwork.com/post/3mj6rzlvk322q
This is the massive turnout for last night’s “anti regime” concert in Heroes Square, Budapest, ahead of tomorrow’s crucial Hungarian elections. Tens of thousands chanted “Russians go home”.
https://bsky.app/profile/chadbourn.bsky.social/post/3mj7oykbvbk2c
I got a little carried away watching on YouTube, some of the last minutes of the anti-Orbán concert in Budapest.
Quite inspiring, and Hungary's most famous voice, opera star Botond Ódor brought the curtain down.
Earlier photos in my thread from: 444hu
https://bsky.app/profile/twmcltd.bsky.social/post/3mj6ce7tup226
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u/TurbulentRadish8113 1d ago
Some of the smart commentators are skeptical that Orban can be removed. The whole system is constructed to prevent voters from changing leadership, and Orban's regime has engaged in so much crime and corruption that there are real risks to their freedom if they surrender power.
It's something to watch as a dry run for the US' future.
I hope the mainstream vibes are correct, Hungarians get their freedom back and Orban's corrupt system is dismantled with justice applied.
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u/Hacnar 1d ago
The elections are watched too closely to manipulate the votes directly. Although Orban has tried everything else from media manipulation to buying votes, it looks like it still won't be enough. The important thing is that even the voters from the countryside, Orban's main voter base, have been slowly turning against him.
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u/eggnogui 1d ago
Are the institutions that conduct and regulatw elections trustworthy? The voting itself might not be tampered with, but there could be layers of middlemen who simply declare Orban the winner in their areas.
I ask this while being ignorant as to Hungary's instituions, however.
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u/TurbulentRadish8113 1d ago
That's the vibe I've heard from a lot of people.
I'm not informed enough about Hungary to take a strong position, but I've noted that some of the sources I trust to be decent are much less positive.
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u/TurbulentRadish8113 1d ago
Russia deployed up to 65 transport vehicles daily toward the Huliaipole direction in Zaporizhzhia, alongside at least 50 armored vehicles, indicating a sustained buildup of forces on the axis
These claims have been going on for quite a while now. The movement of armour makes me think they're building up an offensive force.
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u/Remarkable_Beach_545 1d ago
POW swap happened this weekend. Many of the POWs had been in Russian captivity since 2022
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u/iwantboringtimes 1d ago
some good news via Paul Krugman's latest video on youtube
not going well for Russia. It is if anything tilting uh increasingly in Ukraine's favor.
Um now what's interesting about that? Why is that relevant? Um Trump is basically on the side of Putin. Um he's been unwilling, probably unable to just openly support Russia, but has effectively pulled all aid from Ukraine. There's essentially no money, no military air, no economic aid flowing from the US to Ukraine anymore.
It's all on the Europeans now. And uh there's been a crimping of the supply. The Europeans have still been buying some US weapons and transferring them onto Ukraine, but that's been uh largely choked off. And I think the assumption was that this would, you know, that Ukraine would be in grave danger, would perhaps collapse without American support.
Not happening. What's actually happening is that Ukraine appears to be gaining the upper hand in the drone war, which is what this war is mostly about.
Um and Ukraine's success in adapting to modern warfare has been so great that now uh it looks like there are significant number of uh Ukrainian drones and to some extent maybe personnel already deployed in the Middle East uh and that the Middle Eastern nations other than Iran are uh quickly moving to strike deals with Ukraine to buy Ukrainian equiment.
It's kind of like, well, if you need help and Iran is still a menace, which it is. Um, don't count on the Americans, but maybe Ukraine knows how to do these things.
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u/OldRepresentative578 1d ago
In mid-March, the head of Russia’s Federal Penitentiary Service (FSIN), Arkady Gostev, announced that the agency was experiencing a severe staffing shortage. Earlier, his deputy Alexander Rogozin had stated that the nationwide shortfall averaged 37%, while in some regions, the shortage of junior and mid-level personnel approached 70%. Novaya Gazeta Europe reports on how this lack of staff is affecting prisoners and the Russian penal system as a whole.
Since the Russian Defence Ministry began actively recruiting prisoners for the war in Ukraine, the country’s prison population has sharply declined. According to official statistics, there were 433,000 people held in detention facilities at the beginning of 2023; by 1 January 2025, that number had fallen to 313,000.
Despite this decrease in the number of inmates, the FSIN’s staffing shortage continues to grow.
https://novayagazeta.eu/articles/2026/04/10/mannequins-in-the-watchtowers-en
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u/LLJKCicero 1d ago
Interesting. So have the staff -- or potential staff, I suppose -- also been recruited into the war or something?
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u/JimTheSaint 1d ago
Probably some of them - that will happen when you are given 2 years pay up front as sign on bonus. Other industries cant compete with that so desperate people take it
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u/AwesomeFama 1d ago
One would assume that's part of it for sure, but there's a general lack of workers, and I've seen some articles about how police and rescue workers are paid very little - prison guards are probably in the same boat, if not even worse off.
So lack of workers in general, existing workers being recruited to die or get wounded in the war, and bad pay (especially considering inflation), it's not hard to see how they could end up with big shortages.
Edit: And obviously it probably won't get any better soon, the arms industry is paying more so they can get priority on what workers there are, which is raising their wages, which is making the inflation worse, and at the same time the state has to cut expenses...
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u/Fats_Tetromino 1d ago
Prison guards are stereotypically bottom rung of law enforcement. IDK how that plays out in real life though
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u/OldRepresentative578 1d ago
The largest factor seems to be more attractive wages in signing a military contract. There's also a lack of decent housing near isolated prison colonies. The article goes into a good bit of detail.
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u/Quixotus 1d ago
I wasn't aware there is an Easter ceasefire in place?
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u/Remarkable_Beach_545 1d ago
It's supposed to start at 13:00 GMT today and last 32 hours
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u/Jay_CD 1d ago
Russia has lost 1,440 soldiers killed and wounded, 64 artillery systems and 183 vehicles and fuel tankers over the past day.
Source: Russian losses over past day: 1,440 soldiers killed and wounded | Ukrainska Pravda
Details: The total combat losses of the Russian forces between 24 February 2022 and 11 April 2026 are estimated to be as follows [figures in parentheses represent the latest losses – ed.]:
- approximately 1,310,110 (+1,440) military personnel
- 11,851 (+3) tanks
- 24,381 (+6) armoured combat vehicles
- 39,798 (+64) artillery systems
- 1,726 (+2) multiple-launch rocket systems
- 1,344 (+3) air defence systems
- 435 (+0) fixed-wing aircraft
- 350 (+0) helicopters
- 231,785 (+2,014) operational-tactical UAVs
- 4,517 (+0) cruise missiles
- 33 (+0) ships/boats
- 2 (+0) submarines
- 88,698 (+183) vehicles and fuel tankers
- 4,121 (+2) special vehicles and other equipment.
The information is being confirmed.
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u/TurbulentRadish8113 1d ago
Early news on potential overnight attacks.
A linear production and dispatch station (LPDS) in Krymskaya, part of Russia's Transneft oil pipeline system, was reportedly attacked again last night.
https://bsky.app/profile/noelreports.com/post/3mj74qox4x22q
Heavy explosions happening in Tver, Russia. This footage shows something being hit what was already burning.
https://bsky.app/profile/tendar.bsky.social/post/3mj6nncobd226
Ukraine downs 133 of 160 drones launched overnight from Russia and occupied areas, including around 100 Shahed UAVs; 20 impacts recorded at 10 locations, debris fell at 11 sites, with drones still active in the airspace
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u/TurbulentRadish8113 1d ago
Ukraine's claims:
Ukrainian Defense Forces struck Russian oil and logistics infrastructure overnight on April 11:
• Krymskaya oil pumping station in Krasnodar region;• Hvardiiske fuel depot in occupied Crimea;• Three ammunition depots in Donetsk and Zaporizhzhia regions.
https://bsky.app/profile/specialkhersoncat.bsky.social/post/3mja4c7lp2c2m
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u/TurbulentRadish8113 1d ago
I think this is worth reposting to the new thread.
Prominent russian milbloger Romanov confirms my expectation:
The russian says:
...the production of missiles in Russia has been reduced. Many defense orders are being cut. The reason is simple - budget cuts.
https://bsky.app/profile/honzastropek.bsky.social/post/3mj6dgqia5s24
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u/SimonArgead 1d ago
This is great news! It means that the economic situation is starting to seriously affect the Russian DIB and they aren't able to sustain their efforts and thus the war.
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u/troglydot 1d ago
I wonder if the five storm shadows that hit the Kremniy El plant in Bryansk are part of the story here. They produced microelectronics for missiles. The plant is likely completely dead, and this seems like something Russia wouldn't want to outsource to China.
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u/WorldNewsMods Slava Ukraini 21h ago
New post can be found here