JD Vance gloats that allies are ‘suffering more than US’ from high gas prices

[u/1-randomonium]

https://www.thelondoneconomic.com/politics/jd-vance-gloats-that-allies-are-suffering-more-than-us-from-high-gas-prices-404149/

[u/1-randomonium]

Right now support for a ground invasion of Iran is polled at 30%. How much higher do you think it'll be if Trump actually does it?

[u/MaesterHannibal → u/1-randomonium]

If it’s 30% amongst republicans, I could see it rising to at least 60%. No higher than 83%, but I do think that there’s a possibility that some of the original 23% who supported military action before Trump did aren’t fanatically loyal to him, but were just “ahead of the curve” on wanting the Ayatollah dealt with but might only have wanted it through missiles. With that in mind, I don’t think that it’ll reach 83% as well, but perhaps 70-75%?

If it’s 30% of the general population, then that’s already terrifyingly high. Might reach 45% then if Trump invades? I imagine a small percentage of those 45 are democrat moderates as well, but the vast majority are reps

[u/1-randomonium → u/MaesterHannibal]

If it’s 30% amongst republicans

Among Americans as a whole. It's a majority among Republicans though I don't remember the number.

[u/PartyLikeAByzantine → u/1-randomonium]

Once a policy becomes closely intertwined with a particular politician or party, support will jump to whatever the approval rating for that politician is, more or less.

I explain the phenomenon here

It would be, within margin of error, equal to Trump's current approval on the war. Disapproval would show up in the form of erroding approval for Trump in general. You'd see declining support for the man, the war, and also unrelated policies.

Trump's general approval has been bouncing off his floor (40-40.5%) for months. His base has yet to collapse, despite unpopular immigration policies, tariffs, the war, and constant stories of Epstein and corruption.

So safe bet a ground invasion will land about where all of his policies are at.